Donald Trump’s foreign policy vision is facing significant challenges from Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, two anti-Western dictators. Trump’s goal of becoming a successful peacemaker, potentially earning him a Nobel Peace Prize and a place on Mount Rushmore, seems increasingly unlikely given the current state of affairs.
Trump’s claim that he could end the Ukraine war “in 24 hours” was met with skepticism, and his subsequent meeting with Volodymyr Zelensky only seemed to exacerbate the situation. Vice President JD Vance’s accusations against Zelensky, coupled with Trump’s abrupt change in tone, led to a breakdown in the meeting and the eventual withdrawal of U.S. intelligence and weapons support for Ukraine.
This move has enabled Putin to continue his aggression against Ukraine, with Russia launching more missile and drone attacks. Putin’s response to the proposed 30-day ceasefire has been lukewarm, with him agreeing “in principle” but raising questions about enforcement. This strategy of “fighting while negotiating” has been employed by North Korea and North Vietnam in the past, and Putin seems to be using it to his advantage.
Meanwhile, Xi Jinping is watching the situation unfold with great interest, as he contemplates his own military move against Taiwan. The potential for a Ukraine-like deal under Trump is a concern for the Taiwanese, who are waiting for a clear message from the U.S. president regarding his intention to defend Taiwan against Chinese aggression.
Trump’s ability to achieve his foreign policy goals, particularly in regards to Ukraine and Taiwan, will be crucial in determining his legacy. As Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted, “the ball is now in their court,” but it remains to be seen whether Putin will respect Trump’s position. Ultimately, Trump’s Nobel Prize and place on Mount Rushmore will depend on his ability to secure a favorable outcome in both Ukraine and Taiwan.
